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Strait of Hormuz traffic to return to normal as soon as August, Kalshi traders speculate
Kalshi traders speculate that Strait of Hormuz traffic will return to normal by August, with odds exceeding 50% following U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement.
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Adjacent reporting
- Polymarket odds of Hormuz Strait traffic normalizing by end of May spike to 73%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic won't return to normal until end of the year, traders say
- Traders are skeptical of Iran timeline for Strait of Hormuz reopening
- Prediction Markets Expect Prolonged Strait of Hormuz Disruption—And Oil Traders Are Betting Big
- Bond Traders Bet on Post-War Calm to Keep Rates in Tight Range
- Polymarket reportedly seeking CFTC approval to reopen main exchange to U.S. traders