International Energy Agency
Coverage of International Energy Agency in the Nexus archive.
- Global oil demand is falling, and crude prices are down. But here’s why gasoline, diesel and other refined products are still costly
Global oil demand is declining due to higher prices and supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran war, which blocked shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. China significantly reduced oil purchases and strategic reserve fills, while the U.S. saw increased gasoline use despite high prices.
- Vance team feels like he is handling Iran ‘the right way’
U.S. Vice President JD Vance faces political challenges as peace talks with Iran unravel, leading to renewed U.S. strikes and rising oil prices. Vance's team believes his cautious approach to the conflict positions him to balance support from both peace-seeking and hawkish factions within the Republican Party.
- Morning recap
Iran claims it upheld its ceasefire commitments with the US amid Trump's assertion that the truce ended but negotiations continue. Hormuz Strait traffic dropped sharply due to Iranian attacks on ships, while Trump warned Iran of severe consequences if he were targeted. The IEA warned Gulf tensions could disrupt future oil supply forecasts.
- IEA: US-Iran escalation threatens 2027 oil surplus forecast
The International Energy Agency warns that US-Iran tensions could disrupt its 2027 oil surplus forecast, which relies on improved Hormuz transits. The IEA projects a potential 4.62 million bpd surplus in 2027 but notes risks from geopolitical instability affecting supply and demand.
- Global oil demand is dropping, but US drivers keep buying more gas
Global oil demand is expected to decline in 2026 due to higher prices and supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran war, which stranded oil shipments in the Strait of Hormuz. However, U.S. gasoline use rose despite elevated prices, while China significantly reduced oil purchases and slowed its strategic petroleum reserve filling to mitigate the crisis.
- Global oil demand is dropping, but US drivers keep buying more gas
Global oil demand is expected to decline in 2026 due to higher prices and supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran war, which blocked shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. China reduced oil purchases by 50% and cut strategic reserves, while U.S. gasoline use increased despite higher prices.
- Global oil demand is dropping, but US drivers keep buying more gas
Global oil demand is declining due to higher prices and supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict, with China significantly cutting oil purchases and increasing electric vehicle use. However, U.S. gasoline consumption rose despite elevated pump prices.
- Global Oil Demand Falls for the First Time Since COVID
Global oil demand is projected to decline in 2026 for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic, according to the International Energy Agency. Analysts are uncertain whether the Iran war might accelerate a long-term decline in demand.
- Interview: COP31 president says electrification is ‘surest way to protect citizens’
COP31 president-designate Murat Kurum announced a target for 35% of global final energy to be electricity by 2035, citing IEA and IRENA analyses to align with the 1.5C climate goal. He emphasized the urgency of electrification due to the Hormuz crisis and highlighted support from the EU, UK, Canada, and the presidencies of COP30 and COP32.
- Roundup: Oil demand / EU investigates Meta / Volkswagen shrinks
The International Energy Agency predicts a 1 million barrel per day drop in global oil demand by 2026 due to Iran-related supply issues, while the EU investigates Meta for addictive design features on Facebook and Instagram that may harm children. Volkswagen plans to cut production by 3 million vehicles globally as it faces declining sales and competition from Chinese EV makers.
- Wall Street trading is mixed, oil prices yo-yo after unclaimed attacks on Iran
Wall Street trading was mixed with oil prices fluctuating after unclaimed airstrikes in Iran raised geopolitical tensions. The Strait of Hormuz remains a focal point as Iran demands control over the shipping route, impacting global oil supplies and prices. The International Energy Agency projected a decline in oil demand by 2026.
- Energy agency expects global oil demand to fall in 2026
The International Energy Agency forecasts global oil demand to fall by one million barrels a day in 2026 due to the United States-Iran conflict, which is creating economic uncertainty. Oil production increased in June but remains below pre-war levels, and the conflict could disrupt expectations of a 2027 oil surplus.
- World oil demand set for first annual decline since 2020, IEA says
The International Energy Agency (IEA) reports that world oil demand is set for its first annual decline since 2020. The decline marks a significant shift in global energy consumption patterns.
- IEA warns of petrol and diesel supply crunch
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned of a potential petrol and diesel supply crunch as refineries in the Gulf and Russia face disruptions from wars. Global consumption of these fuels remains high despite the challenges.
- UAE’s Oil Output Hit Record High in June, IEA Says
The UAE’s oil output reached a record high in June, according to the International Energy Agency. The Ruwais refinery and petrochemical complex in Al Ruwais, UAE, is highlighted in the context of this increase.
- Africa secures $900 million in new clean cooking commitments
Africa has secured $900 million in new clean cooking commitments, adding to the $2.2 billion pledged in 2024, to expand access to cleaner fuels and stoves across the continent. The funding aims to address the 1 billion people still relying on polluting fuels, which contribute to 850,000 premature deaths annually.
- Mexico makes first LNG shipment to Asia
Mexico's first liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipment to Asia is underway, signaling shifts in global energy markets. The shipment highlights Mexico's new Pacific coast LNG terminal and the impact of geopolitical events, such as Russia's invasion of Ukraine and U.S. actions in Iran, on traditional energy trade routes.
- Katie McGinty: The energy economy’s biggest waste problem is already inside the system
The article highlights the energy economy's significant waste problem, noting that up to half of all energy is lost as heat globally. It emphasizes the potential of untapped waste heat, equivalent to three-quarters of U.S. annual electricity consumption, and discusses how AI-driven data centers are increasing energy demand while legacy systems waste energy on non-compute tasks.
- Opec+ approves further oil output increase as Hormuz exports start to recover
OPEC+ approved an August oil output increase as Hormuz exports recover, with core members raising quotas by nearly 800,000 bpd since April despite earlier disruptions from the US-Israeli war on Iran. The UAE has left OPEC+, and Iraq is pushing for higher quotas.
- Nigeria Becomes the First OPEC Nation to Join the IEA
Nigeria, an OPEC member, has joined the International Energy Agency (IEA), marking the first time an OPEC nation has become an IEA member. This move reflects a shift in global energy power dynamics.
- Study: Data centers emit more CO2 than estimated
A study by Allianz Trade found data centers emit 315 million tons of CO2 in 2025, 57% higher than International Energy Agency estimates, driven by AI's growing energy demands. Emissions could more than double by 2030 without decarbonization, with the U.S. and China accounting for 70% of global data center emissions.
- Sierra Leone grants oil block rights to Nigerian firm
Sierra Leone granted exploration rights for four offshore oil blocks to Nigeria’s Marginal Energy to boost investor interest in the industry. The move follows agreements with Shell and Eni to explore over 20 oil blocks and aligns with rising investment in sub-Saharan Africa’s upstream oil and gas sector.
- Europe’s Come-to-AC Moment
Europeans in countries like England, Germany, and Scandinavia are increasingly adopting air conditioners due to rising heatwaves, but face challenges with inefficient units and poorly designed buildings unsuited for high temperatures. Many AC units are purchased hastily during heatwaves and left with gaps that let hot air back in, exacerbating the problem.
- Europe on high alert as killer heat spreads
A record-breaking heatwave has caused health alerts, infrastructure damage, and event cancellations across Europe, with temperatures exceeding 40°C in several countries. France reported 55 heat-related deaths, while Germany experienced cracked road surfaces and vehicle damage. Authorities in multiple nations issued extreme heat warnings, and schools and festivals were affected.
- As Europe roasts in a heatwave, Asia's air conditioner makers grab some cool cash
A heatwave in Europe has driven increased demand for air conditioners, benefiting Asian manufacturers like Samsung Electronics, Midea, and Mitsubishi Electric. Sales in key European markets such as Italy, Spain, and France have seen double-digit growth, with portable units like Midea's PortaSplit selling out in some channels.
- ‘It is time to come clean’: UN Secretary General calls out AI companies on their climate impact
UN Secretary-General António Guterres urged AI companies to disclose their carbon pollution, water, and land use through the AI Environmental Transparency Initiative, calling for renewable energy use by 2030 and increased transparency amid growing concerns over AI's environmental impact.
- AI companies should release environmental impact, commit to clean energy, says UN chief
United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres urged AI companies to disclose their carbon pollution, water, and land usage, and commit to renewable energy by 2030. He proposed the AI Environmental Transparency Initiative amid concerns about AI's growing environmental footprint, including data centers contributing to rising greenhouse gas emissions and resource consumption.
- AI companies should release environmental impact, commit to clean energy, says UN chief
United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres urged AI companies to disclose their carbon pollution, water, and land usage, and commit to renewable energy by 2030. He highlighted the growing environmental impact of data centers powering AI, noting their electricity consumption and pollution could double within four years.
- High oil prices drive a surge in Chinese electric vehicle sales, but charging networks lag behind
High oil prices due to the Iran war and Hormuz Strait disruption have boosted Chinese electric vehicle (EV) exports to developing nations like Southeast Asia, Africa, and Brazil. Chinese EV sales surged in 2026, but charging infrastructure struggles to keep pace, creating a 'chicken-and-egg' challenge for adoption.
- DeBriefed 19 June 2026: Bonn talks end in ‘gridlock’ | Energy’s ‘new era’ | Oceans in climate negotiations
UN climate talks in Bonn ended in gridlock, with no agreement on climate-adaptation finance or emissions cuts, while progress was made on a just transition mechanism. A US-Iran deal to halt war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz caused oil prices to drop, and the Trump administration abandoned plans to dismantle a climate-focused ocean monitoring system.
- IEA warns of oil supply glut
The International Energy Agency warned of a potential oil supply glut, with benchmark crude prices down over 25% from a month ago. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could release stranded oil shipments, and the IEA projected a significant overhang next year, though OPEC disputed this assessment.
- Former IEA chief says world faces a ‘third oil shock’ despite US-Iran deal
Former IEA chief Nobuo Tanaka warns the current global energy crisis could mark a 'third oil shock,' reshaping the balance between fossil fuel-dependent 'petrostates' and 'electrostates' focused on electrification. He highlights prolonged supply disruptions and a potential two-year recovery timeline despite the US-Iran deal.
- The oil market could swing from crisis to massive surplus, IEA warns
The International Energy Agency (IEA) warns that the oil market could shift from a crisis to a massive surplus next year as Middle Eastern output rebounds, leading to an 8 million barrel per day supply surge that exceeds a modest demand recovery.
- Iran’s energy weapon worked
A deal between Washington and Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz demonstrated Iran's leverage through its control of oil exports, allowing the country to regain access to global markets and potentially earn $60 billion annually. The agreement, which includes conditions favoring Iran, contrasts with US President Donald Trump's earlier demands for unconditional surrender, highlighting the strategic impact of Iran's energy influence.
- Oil falls as International Energy Agency forecasts supply glut next year after U.S.-Iran deal
Oil prices decline as the International Energy Agency forecasts a supply glut next year following the U.S.-Iran deal. Improved Mideast peace prospects are cited as a contributing factor to the drop in oil prices.
- The G7 just pledged to break China’s rare earth grip — there’s a lot of work to do
The G7 pledged to reduce dependence on China for rare earth minerals by ensuring no single nation supplies over 60% of imports by 2030, aiming for 50% as soon as possible. China currently accounts for nearly 70% of rare earth production and 95% of permanent magnet production, critical for military technology and energy transition. The G7 cited risks from potential Chinese export controls and the strategic importance of rare earths in defense and green energy.
- Africa renewables projects stalled over credit rating rules
Renewable energy projects in Africa are stalled due to a financial rule linking project creditworthiness to the sovereign rating of the host country. Only Botswana and Mauritius have investment-grade ratings, limiting funding for clean energy initiatives despite Africa's need for energy autonomy and access.
- Filling up your car won’t feel normal until next summer, S&P says
The U.S. and Iran announced a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, easing long-term oil supply concerns, but energy analysts predict physical crude markets will remain tight until summer 2027 due to infrastructure repairs and shipping risks. S&P Global estimates supply losses will exceed 1.5 billion barrels by June, with full production normalization delayed.
- Higher prices for gas, groceries and flights will likely outlast the Iran war
A tentative U.S.-Iran deal to end the war may not immediately lower gas, grocery, and flight prices. Experts note delays due to pre-paid oil contracts, refining processes, and airline fuel agreements, with some regions facing prolonged impacts from disrupted supply chains.
- Fact brief: Does solar energy need subsidies to compete with fossil fuels?
Unsubsidized utility-scale solar is generally cheaper than new fossil fuel power plants, with a 2025 analysis showing a mean levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of $58 per megawatt-hour for solar compared to $79 for natural gas and $128 for coal. The International Energy Agency reports solar is the cheapest new electricity source globally in most regions, though subsidies can further reduce costs.