Dossier
Predictive War Index
Coverage of Predictive War Index in the Nexus archive.
- Wall Street is gaining access to new catastrophe models to help predict wars
Wall Street is adopting new catastrophe models to predict wars and geopolitical risks as conflicts increase globally. Verisk Maplecroft has developed models like the Predictive War Index and Geopolitical Relations Index, which use machine learning to forecast military conflicts and government collapses. Financial institutions like Citigroup and Morgan Stanley are urging a shift from historical data to forward-looking risk assessments.