inflation risk
Coverage of inflation risk in the Nexus archive.
- Bank of England holds UK interest rate steady at 3.75% — but policymakers see upside inflation risk
The Bank of England maintained the UK interest rate at 3.75%, aligning with economists' forecasts. Policymakers highlighted an upside risk to inflation despite the rate hold.
- Gold Climbs as Pause in Mideast Fighting Curbs Inflation Risk
Gold prices increased as a pause in US-Iran fighting over the weekend reduced oil supply risks and inflation concerns. The easing of tensions in the Mideast curbed fears of inflation, supporting gold's rise.
- India Rate-Hike Odds Rise as Pricey Crude Stokes Inflation Risk
India's rate-hike odds are increasing due to costly crude oil raising inflation risks. The swap market is pricing in a 25-basis-point rate hike at the October meeting.
- US-Iran Deal Poses Inflation Risk If Chinese Oil Demand Recovers
A potential US-Iran deal could lead to inflation risks if Chinese oil demand recovers. The article highlights the economic implications of increased oil demand on global markets.
- Gold Holds Losses as US-Iran Impasse Keeps Inflation Risk High
Gold prices remain stable despite the ongoing US-Iran standoff, which continues to elevate global inflation risks. The geopolitical tensions between the two nations are seen as a key factor maintaining inflationary pressures.
- AI boom, not oil shock, driving real yields structurally higher
Ten-year US Treasury yields are near 4.5% despite subdued bond market inflation expectations, with the AI boom cited as a structural driver of real yields rather than oil price jumps or Middle East conflicts. Barclays notes that traditional inflation risks are not translating into market panic.
- Inflation Risk Gives Corporate Bonds the Edge Over Sovereigns
Inflation risk is giving corporate bonds an edge over sovereign bonds, as investors seek higher yields to offset potential losses from inflation. Corporate bonds are becoming more attractive due to their relatively higher returns compared to sovereign bonds. This shift in investor preference may impact the bond market dynamics.
- Morgan Stanley CEO Pick on Iran, Inflation Risk and Private Credit
The article discusses Morgan Stanley's CEO selection, analysis of Iran's geopolitical risks, inflation concerns, and developments in private credit markets. Key topics include strategic decisions by financial leaders and economic risk assessments.