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The Nexus
Data through Mar 31, 2026 · updates quarterly
Reported vs. measured

New York City, NY

New York City crime coverage and measured incidents tell different stories about which offenses dominate the landscape

Over the 90-day window ending March 31, 2026, New York City's incident data recorded 112,945 total incidents across all categories. The two largest measured categories were 'other' (37,515 incidents, 33 percent of the total) and theft (34,953 incidents, 31 percent), together accounting for nearly two-thirds of all recorded crime. Assault was the third-largest category at 17,202 incidents (15 percent), followed by vandalism (6,568), weapons (6,061), and robbery (2,546). At the far end of the spectrum, homicide totaled just 43 recorded incidents, representing less than one-tenth of one percent of all measured crime in the city during this period.

Coverage shares diverged sharply from those measured proportions. Across 135 national stories, homicide consumed 34 percent of all national coverage (46 stories) despite its near-zero measured share, while assault drew another 33 percent (45 stories) against its 15 percent measured share. Theft, the second-largest measured category at 31 percent of incidents, received only 2 national stories (1 percent of national coverage), and local outlets produced zero theft stories as well. The Times Square gunfire incident on June 18 to 19, 2026, illustrates the amplification effect: a single weapons episode generated at least four near-identical national headlines across outlets including the Daily Mail, Washington Times, and WTOP DC ('Tourists run for their lives as gunfire erupts in New York's Times Square'), while the broader weapons category registered 6,061 measured incidents with only 14 total stories across all outlets. Similarly, the Luigi Mangione psychiatric-defense story ('Luigi Mangione's lawyers withdraw psychiatric defense for state case in CEO killing,' CBS News, June 19, 2026) accounted for a measurable share of national homicide coverage tied to a single case.

The national-versus-local gap itself is notable. Local outlets produced 27 stories against the national total of 135, a roughly 5-to-1 ratio. Local coverage, while leaning toward assault (30 percent, 8 stories) and disorder (22 percent, 6 stories), distributed attention more broadly across categories including sex offenses (7 percent) and fraud (4 percent), categories that received proportionally less national attention. Disorder drew 22 percent of local coverage against only 6 percent of national coverage and just 1 percent of measured incidents, suggesting local editors are tracking quality-of-life concerns that neither the data nor national outlets emphasize equally. Where the two coverage scopes align most closely is on assault, where both national (33 percent) and local (30 percent) shares are in the same range, though both still roughly double assault's 15 percent measured share.

Recorded incidents · last 18 months
2025-012026-03
Incidents vs. national vs. local coverage

Each category’s share of measured incidents, national/cable coverage, and local coverage over the same ~90-day window.

135 national stories · 27 local stories in window

Assault
Measured
17,202 · 15%

17,202 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Mar 31, 2026.

30-day trend: +10% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: NYPD Complaint Data

National
45 stories · 33%
Local
8 stories · 30%
Weapons
Measured
6,061 · 5%

6,061 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Mar 31, 2026.

30-day trend: +5% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: NYPD Complaint Data

National
12 stories · 9%
Local
2 stories · 7%
Robbery
Measured
2,546 · 2%

2,546 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Mar 31, 2026.

30-day trend: -4% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: NYPD Complaint Data

National
1 story · 1%
Local
none
Burglary
Measured
2,279 · 2%

2,279 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Mar 31, 2026.

30-day trend: +3% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: NYPD Complaint Data

National
1 story · 1%
Local
none
Disorder
Measured
1,157 · 1%

1,157 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Mar 31, 2026.

30-day trend: +3% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: NYPD Complaint Data

National
8 stories · 6%
Local
6 stories · 22%
Homicide
Measured
43 · 0%

43 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Mar 31, 2026.

30-day trend: +12% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: NYPD Complaint Data

National
46 stories · 34%
Local
4 stories · 15%
What the coverage looked like
How to read this
  • City incident data is reported through March 31, 2026; the NYPD data pipeline updates approximately quarterly, so figures may not yet reflect incidents recorded in April through June 2026, the period when most sampled headlines were published. Treat measured counts and recent delta figures with this lag in mind.
  • The 30-day delta for homicide shows plus-12 percent and for vandalism plus-14 percent; because the underlying counts are small (43 homicides) or moderate (6,568 vandalism incidents), percentage swings can be volatile and do not confirm a sustained directional trend.
  • Local coverage is not flagged as sparse (27 stories), but 27 stories across 12 crime categories is still a thin sample; several categories, including theft, robbery, burglary, and drugs, received zero local stories, so no local perspective is available against which to check national framing for those offense types.
  • The 'drugs' category appears in coverage (2 national stories) but registers zero measured incidents in the data window, which may reflect a data-classification difference or a reporting lag rather than an absence of drug-related activity.
  • The 'other' category is the single largest measured bucket (37,515 incidents, 33 percent) but is undefined in the source data; its composition is unknown and it should not be interpreted as a specific crime type.
  • Story counts reflect identified articles in The Nexus index and may not capture all coverage published during the window; duplication of nearly identical headlines across outlets (as seen with the Times Square gunfire story) has been noted but not deduplicated in the totals provided.