Bernard Yaros
Coverage of Bernard Yaros in the Nexus archive.
- The labor market could become so backward that the economy will have to shed jobs to keep unemployment steady
President Donald Trump’s immigration policies and aging baby boomer retirements are reshaping the labor market, causing the breakeven rate for job growth to decline. Payrolls could stagnate or shrink while unemployment remains steady, with Oxford Economics forecasting the breakeven rate to reach zero by next year and turn negative by 2028. Healthcare and other industries may sustain modest job growth despite a shrinking labor force.
- The overlooked way the Iran war is making groceries, Amazon packages and new homes more expensive
The Iran conflict is driving up diesel prices, increasing transportation costs for goods and services like groceries, Amazon deliveries, and home construction. Rising diesel costs could exacerbate inflation and strain household budgets, with potential political implications for the 2026 midterms.