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The Nexus
Data through Jun 28, 2026
Reported vs. measured

Washington, D.C., DC

Washington, D.C. crime coverage and measured data diverge sharply across categories in the 90-day window ending June 28, 2026

Over the 90-day window, city data recorded 4,928 total incidents across tracked categories. Theft alone accounted for 3,524 incidents (72 percent of the measured total), motor vehicle theft added 530 (11 percent), and assault contributed 334 (7 percent). Homicide, the most covered category in both national and local press, measured just 34 incidents, or roughly 1 percent of all recorded crime. Motor vehicle theft (530 incidents, up 50 percent in the most recent 30-day period) and robbery (294 incidents, up 28 percent) received zero national or local coverage stories combined, while theft (3,524 incidents) drew only 2 national stories and no local stories.

National outlets published 99 stories against 8 from local outlets, a ratio of more than 12 to 1. Weapons stories dominated national coverage at 43 of 99 stories (43 percent of national output), yet weapons offenses carry no corresponding count in the city incident data for this window. Homicide drew 18 national stories (18 percent of national output) for 34 measured incidents, while local outlet WTOP DC produced 7 of the 8 total local stories on homicide, including the June 25 report 'Woman sentenced to 29 years for Rock Creek Parkway crash that killed 3' and the June 21 roundup 'From fatal crashes to shootings, DC region records deadly weekend.' Six national vandalism stories (including the NPR report 'Trump claims vandals damaged D.C. Reflecting Pool, and says it will be drained again,' June 21, and the NY Post report 'American Olympic canoeist arrested for allegedly vandalizing Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool,' June 20) reflect a politically prominent incident at the National Mall that does not map to a standard MPD crime category, explaining the zero measured count for vandalism.

The local-versus-national divergence is itself uneven: local coverage concentrated almost entirely on homicide (7 of 8 local stories, 88 percent of local output), leaving robbery, assault, burglary, sex offenses, and the high-volume theft categories with no local stories at all. National coverage amplified weapons and assault well above their measured shares, and elevated landmark-specific incidents (Reflecting Pool vandalism, reflecting pool disorder) that are not tracked in the city incident dataset. The gap between the 72 percent measured share for theft and the combined 2-story, 2 percent national coverage share is the single largest category divergence in this dataset.

Recorded incidents · last 18 months
2025-012026-07
Incidents vs. national vs. local coverage

Each category’s share of measured incidents, national/cable coverage, and local coverage over the same ~90-day window.

99 national stories · 8 local stories in window

Theft
Measured
3,524 · 72%

3,524 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 28, 2026.

30-day trend: +16% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: DC MPD via ArcGIS

National
2 stories · 2%
Local
none
Motor vehicle theft
Measured
530 · 11%

530 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 28, 2026.

30-day trend: +50% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: DC MPD via ArcGIS

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
none
Assault
Measured
334 · 7%

334 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 28, 2026.

30-day trend: -1% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: DC MPD via ArcGIS

National
13 stories · 13%
Local
none
Burglary
Measured
180 · 4%

180 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 28, 2026.

30-day trend: +17% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: DC MPD via ArcGIS

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
none
Homicide
Measured
34 · 1%

34 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 28, 2026.

30-day trend: -21% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: DC MPD via ArcGIS

National
18 stories · 18%
Local
7 stories · 88%
Sex offenses
Measured
31 · 1%

31 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 28, 2026.

30-day trend: -38% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: DC MPD via ArcGIS

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
none
Arson
Measured
1 · 0%

1 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 28, 2026.

Source: DC MPD via ArcGIS

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
none
Weapons
Measured
0 · 0%
National
43 stories · 43%
Local
none
What the coverage looked like
How to read this
  • Data runs through June 28, 2026; the most recent 30-day delta figures reflect a subset of the 90-day window and should not be read as a full-period trend.
  • Weapons, vandalism, disorder, fraud, and drugs carry measured counts of zero in the city dataset, meaning coverage stories in those categories likely describe incidents that fall outside MPD standard reporting categories or involve federal jurisdiction (National Mall, federal buildings), not that those incidents did not occur.
  • Local story total is 8, compared to 99 national stories; while the data flag marks local coverage as not sparse, 8 stories across all categories is a thin base and local shares should be interpreted cautiously, particularly for any category other than homicide where local output is 0.
  • WTOP DC produced 7 of the 8 local stories, so 'local coverage' in this window effectively reflects a single outlet's editorial choices.
  • No verdict on whether any category is meaningfully up or down citywide is offered here; the 30-day delta figures are point-in-time snapshots subject to revision as late-reported incidents are added to the dataset.